TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed No46c7,500$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.985040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.997052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes52c6,757$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.617852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No45c6,447$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.9917853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes54c5,426$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes53c5,146$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.698259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No48c5,105$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.3310051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes56c4,299$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes54c3,738$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.552835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes50c3,706$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.854744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes48c2,310$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No50c2,236$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…91dabacked Yes55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.82825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes39c2,130$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.4816136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95019028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No50c1,996$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e62…8603backed Yes54c1,922$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No52c1,921$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2085…8ad2backed No47c1,919$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…b735backed Yes55c1,914$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be7…4690backed No46c1,913$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…296dbacked Yes55c1,912$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…7b4fbacked No46c1,904$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d95…9d3cbacked Yes55c1,904$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dab…3cc4backed No47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf453…9c8dbacked Yes55c1,808$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd939…9eefbacked No47c1,808$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No49c1,292$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.6238048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No47c1,276$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.7729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes45c1,197$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.4638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf189…4c6bbacked Yes27c1,167$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes49c1,079$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.924353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked No48c1,010$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4861513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.0913847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46023247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No49c999.9$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9519453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes52c999$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.522356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes26c961.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.544022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No48c940$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.218160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed No47c885.16$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.021020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5832…3dacbacked No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-71.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes21c799.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.63625%9 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes61c783.06$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3720343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c738$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes34c726.61$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes50c720$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…51f4backed No46c716.59$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes57c677.83$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c661.96$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.742,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No58c638.39$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4612737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes22c617.78$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8717048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes45c600.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.584740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No48c566.34$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No46c556$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7611132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes52c555.97$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.1530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No78c548.72$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4288643%37 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502540%10 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No47c488.43$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.566955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.73348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes26c463.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.992630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes55c439.53$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.648653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6710330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes55c383.69$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.666735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No49c379.13$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes53c377.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.631952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c314.76$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.971,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…4524backed Yes21c307.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+97.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes23c301.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.831020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1387454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No51c286.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.14228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5113139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No39c250$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.529142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11510543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes52c249.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1199040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked No50c249.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.784637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No47c246.34$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.244645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No65c236.9$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1714044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed Yes23c222$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35fd…582dbacked No46c215.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes23c206.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.241741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.