Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60df3ebcc787e276f2113515a10c6f977df02599324adb8e103e3892d476e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 4,194$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Under | 64c | 4,012$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 3,554$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 0c | 2,356$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 36c | 1,339$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.81 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 13c | 1,249$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Under | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 37c | 516.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 23c | 320.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 63c | 236.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 10c | 183.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Over | 38c | 181$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 163.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 62c | 151$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 36c | 137.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 137.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 38c | 122.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 12c | 121.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 63c | 118$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 26c | 92.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 38c | 80.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…6bffbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 31c | 72.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 62c | 61.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 22c | 56.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 61c | 55.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Over | 23c | 47.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9824…6572backed Over | 37c | 43.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Over | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…2425backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 71c | 38.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Under | 64c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Under | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 71c | 25.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 64c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Under | 64c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…102ebacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5this page
- Senegal vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.