TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c5,550$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under53c4,820$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over67c4,647$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c3,229$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.351,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over65c3,038$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.621850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+143.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.013164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over4c1,263$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.58321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over35c1,245$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.8422731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Over66c1,143$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.251650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c1,076$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over29c999.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28511638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd4…af43backed Under36c920$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c764.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over57c732.13$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.042520%5 W · 20 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over59c584.75$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c483.15$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under36c422.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26021444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over28c395.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over8c371.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over55c361.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23d1…9704backed Over64c360$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ab…7530backed Over64c340$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Under37c324.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3214528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c311.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.141,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over64c287.07$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7216655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c283.14$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over30c277.59$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0616831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4d…a31ebacked Under53c275.16$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c275.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4111331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c4…32d6backed Under67c274.13$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over65c268.75$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.692864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over65c238.46$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over65c238.46$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15531554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over65c237.36$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over35c237.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…edd0backed Over64c220$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over65c212.31$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a5…667ebacked Over61c209.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over64c203$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c202.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.455139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12814049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over51c196.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked Over57c189.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over61c185.92$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over47c182.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over42c168.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.292425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Over65c154.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under66c151.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.496355.6%35 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over27c149$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under35c146.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.544353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under36c146.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2717048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under39c145.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.553056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0897…a901backed Under69c143.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under47c133.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.995440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over27c133.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c131.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3d…f8c6backed Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over65c117.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over36c113.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b4f…0019backed Over51c112.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over65c104.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x195b…c181backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233225%8 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Over40c99.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9910838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked Over54c91.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over34c88.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under37c80.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under37c80.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over38c79.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Under35c76.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506322.2%14 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Over23c73.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over64c69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.161435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Over65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392085%17 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x743d…61dabacked Over50c57.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Over64c57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.250%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under77c52.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.976066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over61c51.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.442025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over39c50.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over45c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5913955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over66c49.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Over38c49.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.