Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555a94434bbb136db34a21f4dd68086cce84e64639cfb274dcef88f03a7f59ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 80,000$24,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,359.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 32,269$22,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,128.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 31c | 29,419$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,298.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 70c | 20,000$13,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,931.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 69c | 19,110$13,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,186.13 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 29c | 16,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,359.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 34c | 14,344$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.17 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 54c | 10,642$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 10,230$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,061 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 70c | 8,580$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,006.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 30c | 8,545$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 30c | 7,980$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 30c | 7,445$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 70c | 7,256$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 26c | 6,981$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 69c | 6,619$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 69c | 6,515$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.25 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 28c | 6,135$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.13 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 5,350$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.44 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 31c | 4,410$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 30c | 4,277$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.67 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 30c | 4,268$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.22 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 30c | 3,952$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.54 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 28c | 3,932$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 71c | 3,815$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…faa5backed Yes | 28c | 3,800$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 34c | 3,494$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 28c | 2,977$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 2,875$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.16 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…0f55backed No | 29c | 2,700$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 69c | 2,561$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 70c | 2,233$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 2,209$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.39 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 66c | 2,114$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 71c | 2,096$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 53c | 2,015$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.03 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,904$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 65c | 1,887$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.78 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 68c | 1,753$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 70c | 1,715$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 31c | 1,607$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 1,511$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.93 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fd01backed No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…3428backed No | 30c | 1,499$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 28c | 1,450$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 30c | 1,446$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.37 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 51c | 1,436$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.61 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes | 70c | 1,432$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…248ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…6be1backed Yes | 68c | 1,338$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…95dbbacked Yes | 72c | 1,233$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…afcebacked Yes | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 70c | 1,145$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7d07backed Yes | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Yes | 43c | 1,082$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,058$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 70c | 957.14$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 69c | 956.52$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…914ebacked Yes | 72c | 900$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 30c | 799.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.94 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 31c | 754.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 72c | 694$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 685.91$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7965…49fdbacked Yes | 69c | 679.23$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3f…6c94backed Yes | 72c | 674.31$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 10c | 662.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 651.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 72c | 625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…f9dcbacked Yes | 66c | 610$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 68c | 591.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 3c | 555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 68c | 515$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 32c | 492.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 28c | 475$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Yes | 71c | 474.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 68c | 468.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 71c | 460$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.