Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d668b1f966d1f37d0a9a94489585e50dd9a750610459312936d1659c53de5ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec7…4723backed Yes | 18c | 10,002$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 8,706$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.18 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,951$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 19c | 3,147$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…1150backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 24c | 1,557$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…23d3backed Yes | 19c | 1,437$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 69c | 1,016$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 18c | 898.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 697.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 68c | 623.6$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 496.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 263.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 240$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 36c | 167.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb48…1308backed No | 75c | 159.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 18c | 142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 35c | 112.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 28c | 91.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 63.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 33c | 61.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…5081backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 80c | 47.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 29c | 35.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.