Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemund
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca26d6508b5c266bb81a7d331da9469b96b0696191759f60e826d14f1257e447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenka of Sabalenka , Siegemund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $804,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Sabalenka | 79c | 75,385$59,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,687.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Siegemund | 7c | 62,776$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,654.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Siegemund | 7c | 58,468$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Siegemund | 6c | 33,877$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.52 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Siegemund | 19c | 32,100$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.34 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Siegemund | 25c | 27,861$6,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.18 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Siegemund | 20c | 27,589$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.94 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Siegemund | 6c | 15,547$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.85 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Sabalenka | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabalenka | 69c | 13,920$9,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.34 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Siegemund | 23c | 10,632$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.84 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Siegemund | 25c | 8,972$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.32 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Siegemund | 19c | 8,455$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.62 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sabalenka | 68c | 8,017$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.65 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed Siegemund | 33c | 7,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Siegemund | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Siegemund | 45c | 5,804$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Siegemund | 43c | 5,690$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.91 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Siegemund | 40c | 5,292$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Siegemund | 31c | 5,270$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.05 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sabalenka | 66c | 5,258$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.29 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Siegemund | 28c | 5,092$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Siegemund | 9c | 4,700$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Sabalenka | 61c | 3,621$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Sabalenka | 70c | 3,126$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.92 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Siegemund | 10c | 3,126$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.97 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Siegemund | 10c | 3,030$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.56 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Sabalenka | 46c | 3,000$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.8 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Sabalenka | 47c | 2,780$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Siegemund | 42c | 2,554$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.44 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…ba4bbacked Siegemund | 26c | 2,539$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Siegemund | 29c | 2,416$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.64 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Siegemund | 2c | 2,350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Siegemund | 35c | 2,335$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Siegemund | 44c | 2,291$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.38 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Sabalenka | 62c | 2,250$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Siegemund | 8c | 2,004$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Siegemund | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed Sabalenka | 56c | 2,000$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Siegemund | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Siegemund | 32c | 1,946$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Siegemund | 6c | 1,884$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Siegemund | 24c | 1,730$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.8 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Sabalenka | 66c | 1,662$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.13 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Sabalenka | 47c | 1,502$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…c5d0backed Sabalenka | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Siegemund | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Siegemund | 30c | 1,422$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Sabalenka | 56c | 1,390$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.16 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Siegemund | 20c | 1,367$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Siegemund | 18c | 1,139$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Siegemund | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Siegemund | 24c | 1,111$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Siegemund | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Siegemund | 21c | 1,056$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Siegemund | 36c | 1,012$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Siegemund | 17c | 1,001$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Siegemund | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Siegemund | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Siegemund | 27c | 999.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Siegemund | 22c | 990.37$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Siegemund | 29c | 944.84$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Sabalenka | 64c | 910.63$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.82 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…f5b2backed Sabalenka | 68c | 909.52$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Sabalenka | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…3d26backed Sabalenka | 67c | 854.76$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Siegemund | 15c | 828.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Sabalenka | 54c | 824.01$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka | 68c | 800$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Siegemund | 11c | 800$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Siegemund | 46c | 684.35$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…af0ebacked Siegemund | 23c | 652.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2466…e4afbacked Sabalenka | 61c | 649.18$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…4faebacked Siegemund | 48c | 630.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Siegemund | 27c | 613.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Siegemund | 51c | 609.42$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Siegemund | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Siegemund | 12c | 594.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Sabalenka | 68c | 581.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 560$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Siegemund | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Siegemund | 22c | 545.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Siegemund | 18c | 544.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Sabalenka | 72c | 542.66$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Sabalenka | 67c | 533.62$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…4446backed Sabalenka | 41c | 515.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Siegemund | 3c | 512.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Siegemund | 39c | 509.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Sabalenka | 72c | 509.11$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…e5b6backed Sabalenka | 69c | 500.83$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Siegemund | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Sabalenka | 67c | 474.88$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Siegemund | 8c | 474$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Sabalenka | 76c | 463.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Sabalenka | 67c | 445.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Siegemund | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Siegemund | 23c | 434.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…f554backed Sabalenka | 80c | 425.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Sabalenka | 60c | 401.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Siegemund | 46c | 400.33$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.