Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f22f51b9038959848e956d27c57075ddc62c475fa59738964a7ead1aba4c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aliassimeof Aliassime, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $651,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $784,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Aliassime | 43c | 60,000$25,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,400 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Aliassime | 42c | 41,740$17,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,376.72 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Minaur | 58c | 41,499$24,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,154.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Minaur | 58c | 38,589$22,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,281.71 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Aliassime | 61c | 34,936$21,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,661.64 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aliassime | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Minaur | 29c | 25,800$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,482 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Minaur | 58c | 23,920$13,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,873.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Minaur | 57c | 22,000$12,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,540 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Minaur | 57c | 20,915$11,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921.57 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Minaur | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Minaur | 57c | 13,000$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.99 | 648 | 55.2%358 W · 290 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Aliassime | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Aliassime | 42c | 11,810$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,810.1 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Minaur | 57c | 11,081$6,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,316.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Aliassime | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Aliassime | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0200backed Aliassime | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Aliassime | 43c | 8,868$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Aliassime | 43c | 8,110$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.86 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Minaur | 62c | 7,300$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Minaur | 58c | 6,950$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.5 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Minaur | 57c | 6,187$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.99 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minaur | 50c | 6,135$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.66 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Minaur | 63c | 5,823$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.45 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Minaur | 58c | 5,132$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Aliassime | 37c | 4,773$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Minaur | 57c | 4,750$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Aliassime | 40c | 4,662$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.82 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Aliassime | 46c | 4,644$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.67 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Minaur | 58c | 4,428$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.48 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Aliassime | 45c | 4,423$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Minaur | 76c | 4,400$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.84 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aliassime | 42c | 3,811$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.69 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Aliassime | 32c | 3,800$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Minaur | 57c | 3,675$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.71 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…b3debacked Aliassime | 15c | 3,563$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Minaur | 61c | 3,018$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.29 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Aliassime | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Aliassime | 40c | 2,749$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.66 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Minaur | 56c | 2,665$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.64 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Aliassime | 42c | 2,619$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.05 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Aliassime | 40c | 2,443$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.95 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Aliassime | 43c | 2,404$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Minaur | 58c | 2,185$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Aliassime | 66c | 2,100$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Aliassime | 45c | 2,074$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Minaur | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aliassime | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aliassime | 43c | 1,870$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.88 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Minaur | 73c | 1,812$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Minaur | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Aliassime | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Aliassime | 38c | 1,523$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.06 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Minaur | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Minaur | 57c | 1,500$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Aliassime | 54c | 1,465$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Minaur | 58c | 1,400$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Aliassime | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Minaur | 50c | 1,393$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.54 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Minaur | 53c | 1,358$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.73 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Minaur | 76c | 1,343$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Aliassime | 43c | 1,338$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.42 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Aliassime | 41c | 1,323$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.02 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur | 58c | 1,319$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Aliassime | 41c | 1,280$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.67 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Minaur | 57c | 1,270$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.9 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minaur | 63c | 1,250$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.68 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Aliassime | 25c | 1,201$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.42 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Minaur | 50c | 1,112$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.12 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Aliassime | 47c | 1,053$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.09 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Minaur | 40c | 1,012$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Minaur | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aliassime | 58c | 900$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Minaur | 60c | 838.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…ec2abacked Aliassime | 42c | 828.64$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Minaur | 61c | 823.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Aliassime | 25c | 771.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.06 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Aliassime | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441e…2703backed Aliassime | 43c | 746.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Aliassime | 43c | 739.02$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.24 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Minaur | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Minaur | 71c | 700$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Aliassime | 49c | 697.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.01 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Aliassime | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Minaur | 62c | 694.58$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Minaur | 58c | 620.34$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Minaur | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Minaur | 58c | 558.02$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Aliassime | 56c | 543.39$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Aliassime | 24c | 513$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Minaur | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Aliassime | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Minaur | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Aliassime | 39c | 500$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Minaur | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Aliassime | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed Aliassime | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Aliassime | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Minaur | 58c | 499.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.