TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No54c10,733$5,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.449159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes46c2,826$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed No56c2,461$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.861030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes45c2,358$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.018040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked No55c1,850$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Yes46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed Yes38c1,700$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.994738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c7…af7fbacked No62c1,616$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.131070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No64c1,550$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.882060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No54c1,524$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.266950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0618950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No57c1,065$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.785858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.995350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No60c942.27$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.212147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088c…3f3ebacked Yes45c934.91$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes49c818.7$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.353033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Yes47c776.99$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.622740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No54c758.49$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.3519453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes43c733.4$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3612956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes46c646.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes43c604.13$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.785637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed No61c590.77$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d98…af0ebacked Yes45c550.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes37c525.39$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.474040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes14c518.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.190%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes41c462$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5618758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes46c437.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes46c435.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3110931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes46c413.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034c…4f69backed Yes55c394.03$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes46c350.4$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9641…ac5abacked Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes43c325.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.87825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes46c311.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes66c305.13$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.935152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes54c270$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Yes43c262.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No63c256.26$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.610137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked No20c253$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.421938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No62c250.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.34367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbac6…f6eabacked No40c249.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90c…9833backed Yes46c248.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes38c245.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.395335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No55c228$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4078…22ddbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf82…c406backed Yes46c195.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.811457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6836…00f2backed Yes70c193.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06d0…5081backed No54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed No45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.56246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No51c165.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8834449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked No70c155.71$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4711443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes42c140$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed No78c134.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.552673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes46c121.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.565040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef7…bd03backed No56c115.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.581450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…7a5ebacked Yes46c114.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked No55c114.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No55c113.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5130657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes45c112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…3312backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed4…8c3cbacked No63c105.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.092147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No54c99.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9919344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.299252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed No56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c5…f6f4backed Yes45c77.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Yes53c73.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No55c73.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0926443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes55c72.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…1ca2backed Yes46c68.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked No61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd8…3047backed Yes54c65.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes35c65.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.546056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked No62c61.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.733627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2021…2555backed No54c59.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc533…5274backed Yes46c54.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56123%14 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.