La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764a6079bce7a0f318e11edd287e19d4290a5566981750a3b13bf69c43cc1f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 54c | 200,000$107,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,099.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 127,185$61,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,764.06 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 46c | 39,801$18,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,307.83 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 46c | 33,508$15,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,413.7 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 29,999$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.72 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 46c | 18,000$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 46c | 10,575$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.79 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 47c | 6,969$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.32 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 46c | 5,059$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 78c | 3,576$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 2,091$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.37 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.04 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,418$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.28 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 45c | 1,406$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.62 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 47c | 919.74$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 762.45$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 78c | 744.44$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.21 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 50c | 589.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 488.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.93 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 51c | 455$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Yes | 46c | 445.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 28c | 377.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.87 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 28c | 355.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.32 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 46c | 315$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 47c | 290.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 45c | 269.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfd…6dcfbacked Yes | 45c | 267.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes | 50c | 245.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 70c | 238.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 219.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 50c | 199.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 61c | 192.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 192.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Yes | 47c | 175$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 138.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b0…990bbacked Yes | 50c | 136.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 42c | 117.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…7d31backed No | 50c | 111.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…6c72backed Yes | 51c | 110.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…fca3backed No | 51c | 108.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…975fbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…affdbacked No | 51c | 95.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 49c | 69.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…073dbacked Yes | 50c | 66.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 48c | 66.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…e223backed No | 50c | 65.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…9438backed Yes | 51c | 64.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 63.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 62.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 46c | 56.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked No | 40c | 52.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…2c08backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…34d2backed Yes | 78c | 49.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…dcfdbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…e71cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.