TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76ba…dcfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3871.1%27 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$6.82
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.32
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$10.73
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$9.73
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$11.52
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.23
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$5.03
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$119.72
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.35
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.32
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.37
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$89.74
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$58.33
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$26.6
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$5.28
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$5.56
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.82
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick70cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$8.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$5.87
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+91.3%+$10.96
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$7.77
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$36.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Marta Kostyuk vs. Jasmine Paolini: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.46
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$26.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.