TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG34c31,976$10,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,103.8434356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Paper Rex43c26,107$11,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,225.926643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Paper Rex63c24,525$15,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,496.9624145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed NRG68c10,719$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.786462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked NRG41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.984542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x625a…867ebacked Paper Rex40c7,785$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.75540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex56c6,945$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed NRG24c4,500$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.3122344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NRG23c4,239$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.7450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.8926738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Paper Rex34c3,540$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9819648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Paper Rex41c3,528$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.2674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Paper Rex41c3,271$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.133838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Paper Rex32c3,106$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.826647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Paper Rex43c3,032$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.6635142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG49c2,485$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.091,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Paper Rex29c2,057$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.8714750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG35c1,850$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.241734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex49c1,741$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.541,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Paper Rex59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked NRG36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed NRG67c1,382$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.1220755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG43c1,345$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.6514938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Paper Rex78c1,334$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.783857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed NRG42c1,330$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.45058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed NRG23c1,263$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.8623732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed NRG42c1,246$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.78145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Paper Rex60c1,221$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.6425444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex41c1,209$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex40c1,198$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.221,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NRG34c1,145$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.8515343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked NRG37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69315431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked NRG35c1,080$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.946137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Paper Rex27c1,063$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Paper Rex25c1,029$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0810842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked NRG39c1,005$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.089340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Paper Rex63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked NRG68c965.95$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.630652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked NRG80c955.15$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.036250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG35c953.07$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.9353442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed NRG69c925.31$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.844247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Paper Rex63c916$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.246048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Paper Rex23c899.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.91145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Paper Rex59c850.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked NRG67c821.9$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.213161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked NRG37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8129733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Paper Rex75c797.4$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1226758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Paper Rex53c750.1$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9254342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Paper Rex47c718.2$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.175653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex31c714.4$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.351,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Paper Rex61c704.92$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Paper Rex64c702.56$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.642729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed Paper Rex63c699.96$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.985442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked NRG29c690.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.241963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked NRG18c689$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.0328743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed NRG37c685.65$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.9617640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG36c678.7$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed NRG35c673.44$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7315038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex36c671.25$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.271,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex56c667.03$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed NRG53c645.23$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.616547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked Paper Rex59c641.06$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.235660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Paper Rex65c640.77$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.58347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Paper Rex65c614.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NRG35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3907252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Paper Rex38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Paper Rex19c593.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Paper Rex74c564.37$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.542544%11 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed NRG78c558.48$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Paper Rex56c527.24$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.194843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex62c526.64$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7634954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Paper Rex64c513.77$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8113455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex40c508.04$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed NRG17c507.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0132245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed NRG53c480.46$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4416144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Paper Rex78c449.36$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.674957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex69c419.94$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9943059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NRG24c408.31$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG57c402.34$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3352155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex40c401.19$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.411,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG68c385.28$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Paper Rex78c382.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4614850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Paper Rex24c381.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Paper Rex44c377.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Paper Rex18c372.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6714653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed Paper Rex58c370$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.65743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524a…4b1cbacked Paper Rex7c365$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Paper Rex61c359.67$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.683237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Paper Rex75c345.94$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6449255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NRG66c342.87$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.131,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb319…7130backed Paper Rex64c341.05$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.592171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked NRG74c340.77$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Paper Rex75c336.13$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.12835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paper Rex23c331.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.851749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed NRG36c326.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.666848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked NRG35c324.45$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8926450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG37c315.43$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7260154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Paper Rex64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NRG51c304.05$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9855637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.