Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734899c7c1ba6b65dd6eea47a558a3b33a6e13ce3b68984cca6ce2fd24922007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked NRG | 20c | 999.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 696.17$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 17c | 501.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked NRG | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked NRG | 41c | 482.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 13c | 449.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Paper Rex | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Paper Rex | 76c | 407.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Paper Rex | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Paper Rex | 77c | 367.01$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 25c | 355$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 26c | 339.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed NRG | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Paper Rex | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Paper Rex | 73c | 184.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 37c | 181.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 19c | 178$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed NRG | 15c | 176.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Paper Rex | 79c | 163.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NRG | 22c | 162.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed NRG | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked NRG | 25c | 136$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NRG | 27c | 129.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG | 21c | 129$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Paper Rex | 65c | 125.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG | 25c | 119.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG | 41c | 103$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed NRG | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Paper Rex | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 13c | 97.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 61c | 81.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 21c | 76.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…a331backed NRG | 20c | 74.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed NRG | 22c | 64.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG | 22c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked NRG | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed NRG | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Paper Rex | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked NRG | 36c | 54.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed NRG | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked NRG | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked NRG | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked NRG | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed NRG | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG | 39c | 39.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NRG | 39c | 36.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NRG | 37c | 33.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Paper Rex | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…f37cbacked Paper Rex | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Paper Rex | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Paper Rex | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…9327backed Paper Rex | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BNRG won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.