TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed NRG43c33,166$14,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,035.9354751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Paper Rex58c30,810$17,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,804.5117948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Paper Rex60c22,069$13,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,233.7924145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG40c20,183$8,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,109.6434356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NRG44c12,828$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,127.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Paper Rex56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6004542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Paper Rex55c7,702$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked NRG43c6,653$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex59c6,611$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Paper Rex53c5,100$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.976462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG48c4,152$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.541,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed NRG31c3,790$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.833956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Paper Rex63c3,696$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.6519648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NRG46c3,660$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.6950944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG38c2,720$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.951,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Paper Rex70c2,400$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.94247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Paper Rex57c1,762$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0059340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed Paper Rex58c1,705$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.482245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG48c1,557$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.11,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Paper Rex57c1,488$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.598347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Paper Rex1c1,483$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8310217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex60c1,351$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.6740944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex56c1,349$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG43c1,241$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.4516347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed NRG35c1,234$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.211540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Paper Rex62c1,185$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.452751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex57c1,170$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.852155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Paper Rex55c1,125$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.1914938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Paper Rex8c1,114$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8460022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG41c1,103$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.4951749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Paper Rex52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG41c999.96$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked NRG77c942.41$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.312155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed NRG44c935.65$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.973852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NRG43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51321055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Paper Rex45c890.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9410628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked Paper Rex57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Paper Rex49c877.05$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.599151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG41c821$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.784838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG48c810.35$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4214653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG46c702.22$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.051,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex55c681.97$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.730652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed NRG42c607$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.063857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked NRG33c525.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.196250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Paper Rex59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed NRG53c502.68$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.784755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Paper Rex44c500$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.176442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG52c474.49$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4422455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked NRG50c427.77$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7715160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed NRG54c427$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1910349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…3653backed Paper Rex4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG48c399.21$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.470043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked NRG44c395.25$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.495653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG55c372.92$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG44c365.61$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.21,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Paper Rex57c351.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG40c347.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.871,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex58c341.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed Paper Rex56c322.6$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.483571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3d9…b329backed Paper Rex62c320.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NRG36c306.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.677252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed NRG51c294.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.086553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG43c292.51$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Paper Rex33c275.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.013644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG45c271$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.299846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex56c257.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.28848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked NRG39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG55c256.26$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3223644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Paper Rex49c255.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8817653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Paper Rex6c231$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.865032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed NRG58c225.55$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3723745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked NRG48c222.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7242140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed NRG45c222.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.479942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Paper Rex57c218.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked NRG47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.362828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked Paper Rex47c210.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008936%32 W · 57 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Paper Rex58c210.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Paper Rex56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11221457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Paper Rex56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Paper Rex64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12818460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Paper Rex42c191.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c6c…b1d2backed NRG55c175.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.862119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-62.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Paper Rex57c174.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.733450%17 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Paper Rex60c167.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed NRG45c167.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1121454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NRG40c163$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Paper Rex64c161.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.139845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed NRG44c160.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7414850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Paper Rex65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Paper Rex48c153.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.844957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed NRG47c153.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.192352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked NRG50c147.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.532755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG48c145.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2657151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked NRG41c145.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4313043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked NRG72c137.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.135660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e5…c769backed Paper Rex57c134.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.35825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Paper Rex57c127.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0733838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed Paper Rex37c126.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Paper Rex56c123.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.723148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.