CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13252cb4c12907ce5b56149bc081d9750bfbbf6dac82fe25a27b92793d609970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf404…daaabacked FaZe | 55c | 1,498$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.11 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vitality | 45c | 1,271$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.11 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Vitality | 42c | 1,004$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.12 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FaZe | 61c | 899.88$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.93 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Vitality | 39c | 619.49$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.89 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 48c | 530$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FaZe | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked FaZe | 59c | 206.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked FaZe | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FaZe | 52c | 124.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed FaZe | 59c | 90.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked FaZe | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…e850backed FaZe | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FaZe | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed FaZe | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked FaZe | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…9d33backed FaZe | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…dcfdbacked FaZe | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed FaZe | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.