CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c528e3e3562d45fdf0f05495449dde5979ea0ea3447976f66f69e16f3ef877d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 4,442$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.11 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 43c | 2,098$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 1,913$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.97 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 43c | 1,493$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.99 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 57c | 941.15$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 43c | 899.96$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 59c | 709.1$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.73 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Over | 41c | 683.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 44c | 437.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 58c | 430.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 41c | 371.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 342.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 43c | 252.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 42c | 207.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…ef08backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 51c | 179.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 57c | 160.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 43c | 116.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Over | 45c | 111.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 100.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 58c | 92.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 58c | 80.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 42c | 71.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 48c | 70.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 63.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 61.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed Over | 42c | 50.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…2736backed Over | 42c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 43c | 35.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 60c | 24.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.