TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No52c18,423$9,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,836.133,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c9,174$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.2723745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes51c8,477$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.434443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes46c6,500$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0202737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No55c6,365$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.2619153.9%103 W · 88 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes46c5,999$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.452441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No63c5,017$3,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.225347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c3,683$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.952,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes56c3,519$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.741526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c2,865$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.6623046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No54c2,713$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.510463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes53c1,805$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No47c1,628$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.069552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes53c1,089$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5774963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e5…bff4backed Yes43c974.05$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes53c801$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.483438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes33c757.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.121838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+47.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Yes32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes30c656.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes53c608$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.583551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30651136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No61c599.98$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.994456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes47c595.08$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.652962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes43c579.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70c0…940dbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes32c530$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c475.09$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.316652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…05f2backed Yes56c426.85$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes48c415.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c415$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2533945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No46c410.56$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1589621.9%21 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7906…8199backed Yes25c399.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes25c395.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005054%27 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes55c363.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.795356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes55c362.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No67c350$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1176010%6 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes51c350$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No50c347$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.522669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes53c335.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.951850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9911036.4%40 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…c9f0backed Yes43c292.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No47c264.89$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.143141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes52c249.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d30…1bc2backed Yes51c236$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a92…543dbacked Yes53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704949%24 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a45…e3cdbacked Yes39c198.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes52c193.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51e7…c30fbacked Yes52c192.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed Yes52c192.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+63.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013555.6%75 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ab…23cbbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153d…108fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef19…ba90backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5d…6011backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ed…ea48backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad12…5325backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2178…9363backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes55c182.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes39c156.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa641…64f0backed Yes57c154.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No49c148$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.484942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes42c142.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.722332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6a…7a67backed Yes45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Yes55c129.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Yes44c125.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No53c122.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3310347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c0…681cbacked Yes45c117.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.