Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be5d719f00b9034e704961ba8134c38a4dcf05afa5c35951e42dce7db08bed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 82,196$29,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,614.02 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 65c | 58,698$38,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,571.41 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 65c | 42,080$27,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,728.1 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 35c | 38,881$13,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,591.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 32,960$12,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,292.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 33c | 25,488$8,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,513.93 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 67c | 21,248$14,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.37 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 39c | 20,678$8,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,157.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 64c | 16,149$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.29 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 66c | 13,960$9,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.64 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 34c | 9,905$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.17 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 9,822$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.08 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 58c | 9,802$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.72 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 35c | 9,500$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 35c | 9,145$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 63c | 9,002$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.79 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 35c | 8,629$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 34c | 7,400$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.94 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 66c | 7,235$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.85 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…e133backed Yes | 66c | 7,195$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 65c | 6,115$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 60c | 5,700$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.37 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 66c | 5,664$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.09 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 34c | 5,503$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.15 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 5,500$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 42c | 5,394$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.12 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 34c | 5,327$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.34 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 36c | 5,220$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.47 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 4,454$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.08 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 34c | 3,262$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.02 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 62c | 3,049$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.83 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,972$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 25c | 2,596$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.06 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,483$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 34c | 2,447$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 41c | 2,336$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 66c | 2,308$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 66c | 2,289$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 66c | 2,265$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed No | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 67c | 2,099$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 34c | 2,027$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 1,653$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 36c | 1,626$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 64c | 1,573$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.53 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 37c | 1,571$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.59 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 35c | 1,495$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Yes | 66c | 1,494$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 36c | 1,453$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.12 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 60c | 1,441$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.14 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed No | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 23c | 1,400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 1,383$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.92 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 67c | 1,379$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 1,273$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.5 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…4f35backed No | 37c | 1,171$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 1,164$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.61 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 1,134$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 36c | 1,121$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 35c | 1,006$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,004$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.26 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 66c | 984.85$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 67c | 974.6$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 36c | 972.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed No | 37c | 948$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 65c | 851.79$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.37 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 843.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 67c | 786.57$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 38c | 744.31$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 66c | 739.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.49 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 60c | 695.22$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…a761backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 25c | 673$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 66c | 666.67$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Yes | 64c | 659.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 37c | 649.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 64c | 625.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 66c | 610.62$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 62c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 34c | 599.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.