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La Liga · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$923,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,091,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No15c97,486$14,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,966.694,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No17c54,553$9,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,374.029328%26 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No16c54,273$8,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,698.566347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No17c44,310$7,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,532.697722.1%17 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No17c32,807$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.2424347.3%115 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No17c30,621$5,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,341.539743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No14c30,198$4,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.1927453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No17c25,847$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.222646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No11c16,538$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.27445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No17c16,489$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No18c15,090$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.999529.5%28 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No17c12,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.98850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+64.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed No17c8,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c7,915$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.713,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c7,208$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.67777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No18c6,806$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505332.1%17 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No17c6,011$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.8829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No18c5,431$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.638961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No18c5,307$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96112956.6%73 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No17c5,090$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.298122.2%18 W · 63 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No9c4,992$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.546740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No10c4,523$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.0230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No18c3,827$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.82175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No18c3,337$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.622025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No17c3,186$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.915750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No18c3,050$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54915516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No18c3,026$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No17c3,020$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.445253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No18c2,906$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.14223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No17c2,638$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No13c2,270$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.992611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No20c2,029$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.788552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b6…3eacbacked No18c1,999$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No10c1,911$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No17c1,815$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.543218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No9c1,811$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.86250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No18c1,652$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.422927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No18c1,620$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.621955.7%122 W · 97 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No11c1,609$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No20c1,596$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2111055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31514344.1%63 W · 80 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No3c1,412$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.374344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No19c1,353$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.915851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69aa…4d70backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No17c1,086$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6928147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes80c1,074$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.788551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No22c1,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0114621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c0…0afebacked No17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No18c750$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No20c696.78$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3635254%190 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No18c692.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.672326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbea…1595backed Yes80c687.95$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.95862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No12c683.12$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No19c650.95$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Yes80c639.6$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.924854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No17c630.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…b83fbacked Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No3c614$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.062330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No16c514.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.325839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No18c499.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.57953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc47e…8ae4backed No22c458.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No15c407.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029443.2%127 W · 167 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No20c359.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9427852.5%146 W · 132 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83a…cdbebacked Yes80c325$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No6c320$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No17c304.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b6…02edbacked Yes80c304.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No20c300.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1143255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583b…f0bcbacked Yes80c286.6$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No17c257.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.716235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e46…6b55backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ddc…066bbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c90…9d02backed Yes80c225$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No20c215.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0514244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes80c210.23$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.054459.1%26 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No20c185.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.117648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332051.3%164 W · 156 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb7…95b2backed No21c156$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8924…c8d2backed Yes80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked No17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44bc…ed31backed Yes80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No23c149.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1512722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2729053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c17…98e1backed Yes80c130.95$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b4…5c2bbacked Yes80c125.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…7e02backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…1c09backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a34…cbd4backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.