TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a34…cbd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$17.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$63.76
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$58.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+39.2%+$26.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+39.2%+$13.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$72.46
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$94.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+159.4%+$23.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.1%+$26.11
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$36.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$20.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.8%+$6.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.2%+$10.09
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Linea airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$26.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.