Token Launches · resolved market
Linea airdrop in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc1657d83065060429e46e33dda7d9e87cd4921f16a09b7d0be133caaf6cad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,827,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,294,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,827,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb237…627ebacked Yes | 35c | 13,265$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7970…3595backed Yes | 42c | 10,903$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 6,706$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.06 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…f46abacked Yes | 0c | 6,550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 5,647$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…6f99backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…ca3dbacked No | 74c | 4,022$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,951$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,543$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…213ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,444$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…4631backed No | 62c | 3,350$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,967$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,807$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…5fc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,699$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…edd4backed Yes | 30c | 2,658$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,444$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 29c | 2,405$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.37 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…30bfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,386$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…2eb2backed Yes | 4c | 2,386$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c7…a6c6backed Yes | 4c | 2,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…e87fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,329$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…8eb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,299$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 3c | 2,252$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…a697backed No | 66c | 2,145$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…ca37backed Yes | 24c | 2,053$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1023…e2b4backed Yes | 17c | 1,984$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…fb85backed No | 55c | 1,706$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…6351backed Yes | 9c | 1,689$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 4c | 1,668$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe095…fbd3backed No | 77c | 1,558$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…6218backed No | 64c | 1,539$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 34c | 1,536$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…869ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…cb28backed No | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 1,487$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…75e4backed No | 73c | 1,482$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…02f1backed Yes | 4c | 1,419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…4300backed Yes | 33c | 1,366$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…3ce2backed Yes | 1c | 1,282$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7c57backed No | 72c | 1,258$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 70c | 1,221$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6a86backed Yes | 4c | 1,207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…f09cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,084$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 37c | 1,074$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.63 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 28c | 1,057$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…766bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,036$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 71c | 1,032$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,008$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…8cf9backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…dcd2backed No | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…dfb6backed No | 72c | 952.6$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…2fd0backed Yes | 21c | 949.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…fdf4backed No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…bcd8backed Yes | 35c | 825.63$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 9c | 793.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…5dc2backed No | 64c | 786.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes | 41c | 732.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…5c54backed Yes | 4c | 720.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Yes | 31c | 702.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 38c | 659.45$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 4c | 651.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…23fcbacked No | 66c | 646.94$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…b704backed Yes | 29c | 636.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…b1f4backed Yes | 17c | 628.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b9…43bdbacked No | 65c | 612.85$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 6c | 610.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…321cbacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…f4e2backed Yes | 35c | 599.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 72c | 562.81$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 27c | 562.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…17cfbacked Yes | 30c | 528.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…a8dcbacked No | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 30c | 476.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…20dcbacked No | 67c | 457.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…b316backed No | 76c | 451.65$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…7101backed Yes | 26c | 449.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…a4f7backed Yes | 32c | 436.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 69c | 436.06$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 4c | 424.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…8db5backed Yes | 35c | 420.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked No | 67c | 398.51$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…efd5backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…54cbbacked Yes | 27c | 369.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 73c | 355.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…0f8ebacked No | 66c | 355.34$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes | 44c | 335.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb62c…06aebacked No | 61c | 327.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…44eabacked No | 61c | 326.57$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +366.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…3ba9backed Yes | 37c | 308.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…5320backed Yes | 40c | 290.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…3465backed Yes | 4c | 284.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…3453backed No | 60c | 275.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…5c12backed No | 74c | 270.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7194…4556backed Yes | 42c | 265.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…cc0bbacked Yes | 31c | 264.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 34c | 255$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Linea airdrop in 2024?this page
- Aleo airdrop in 2024?No won
- Astaria airdrop in 2024?No won
- Avail airdrop in 2024?No won
- Base airdrop in 2024?No won
- Berachain airdrop in 2024?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No won
- Jumper airdrop in 2024?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Puffer airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rabby airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in 2024?No won
- Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.