Token Launches · resolved market
Berachain airdrop in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8584531b136799cba85c7dbd703da073cb54e468be37efa1baa0d8b73efa27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 14,178$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 12c | 13,999$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 10,708$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.61 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…9f44backed No | 43c | 8,431$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 37c | 6,456$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.45 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 6,259$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.74 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…a70cbacked No | 54c | 5,555$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 5,232$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…81f8backed No | 52c | 5,094$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…e671backed Yes | 48c | 5,094$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…10b3backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3562…f9f5backed No | 33c | 3,800$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…0573backed Yes | 67c | 3,600$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e3…9f98backed No | 33c | 3,400$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 48c | 2,780$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47b6…c65fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,754$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…51e6backed Yes | 73c | 2,739$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 45c | 2,729$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.65 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…71e0backed Yes | 8c | 2,622$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…1ddfbacked Yes | 63c | 2,569$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 53c | 2,524$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.58 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 36c | 2,289$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…5c54backed Yes | 13c | 2,153$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…437cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,100$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…2c5ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,100$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…6da1backed Yes | 4c | 2,088$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Yes | 50c | 2,029$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…5040backed No | 50c | 2,011$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6da8backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…4114backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…ca3dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…8d94backed Yes | 68c | 1,900$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…580ebacked No | 38c | 1,846$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…a17ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…9e64backed Yes | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 48c | 1,764$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 6c | 1,748$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,740$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…dbcdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,717$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…f811backed No | 33c | 1,636$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf2…c3b1backed Yes | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 4c | 1,534$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f5…8e23backed Yes | 68c | 1,419$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa5…ec41backed Yes | 7c | 1,329$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…75e4backed Yes | 19c | 1,293$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…0252backed No | 80c | 1,255$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 78c | 1,228$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.15 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 1,161$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.57 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…215ebacked No | 36c | 1,083$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…aed7backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…4199backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…1eaabacked No | 73c | 910.14$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…1d61backed No | 58c | 901.88$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…cdf5backed Yes | 30c | 899.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f3a0backed Yes | 4c | 886.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…dcd2backed Yes | 76c | 885.17$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…8eb8backed Yes | 4c | 870.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…745cbacked Yes | 42c | 869.86$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 13c | 802.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.73 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes | 13c | 790.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 50c | 784.28$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.77 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…9c8ebacked No | 64c | 767.2$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6539backed Yes | 75c | 735.53$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…cfd1backed Yes | 4c | 697.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb62…1d05backed No | 55c | 678.25$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 15c | 677.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…dfb6backed Yes | 66c | 651.9$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…44d2backed No | 39c | 639.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…1c37backed Yes | 49c | 635$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…fdf9backed Yes | 22c | 634.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…9ad0backed Yes | 17c | 620.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8d63backed Yes | 56c | 612.73$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 9c | 602.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…bb49backed Yes | 68c | 579.15$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea01…c767backed Yes | 13c | 572.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…f1d5backed Yes | 16c | 555.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 11c | 552.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 78c | 551.2$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…7b55backed Yes | 76c | 527.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed No | 38c | 522.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…6cfcbacked No | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed No | 27c | 474.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…2fd0backed Yes | 43c | 473.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Yes | 9c | 473.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…35fabacked No | 37c | 459.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Yes | 9c | 458.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 46c | 457.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…3313backed No | 53c | 446.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 61c | 444.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes | 46c | 437.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…3c96backed Yes | 3c | 421.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…8305backed Yes | 64c | 410.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 25c | 409.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…1612backed Yes | 59c | 399.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…2a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 387.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…eb4fbacked No | 39c | 385.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ae5dbacked No | 36c | 368.58$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…4441backed Yes | 27c | 368.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…55b0backed Yes | 19c | 356.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Berachain airdrop in 2024?this page
- Aleo airdrop in 2024?No won
- Astaria airdrop in 2024?No won
- Avail airdrop in 2024?No won
- Base airdrop in 2024?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No won
- Jumper airdrop in 2024?No won
- Linea airdrop in 2024?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Puffer airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rabby airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in 2024?No won
- Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.