Token Launches · resolved market
Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5030eadb74d331ce7e6457dcd4611579fe2c6a72139f2ef5128f5e305ec62208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 3c | 14,542$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 0c | 12,729$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed No | 65c | 12,169$7,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 8c | 10,896$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.43 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…3cf0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 6c | 9,840$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.82 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 8c | 9,634$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 61c | 7,628$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.83 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…d816backed Yes | 55c | 6,900$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed No | 1c | 6,703$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +2,101.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…9a5cbacked Yes | 79c | 6,374$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 30c | 5,701$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…4bacbacked Yes | 26c | 5,372$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 19c | 5,124$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.12 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…156dbacked No | 65c | 3,673$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 8c | 3,620$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…373bbacked Yes | 77c | 3,145$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 3,139$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…53d1backed Yes | 23c | 2,531$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 6c | 2,459$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 7c | 2,435$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.67 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0450backed No | 5c | 2,384$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 7c | 2,250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…5d3dbacked No | 9c | 2,085$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 2c | 2,010$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…0f59backed No | 1c | 1,976$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 23c | 1,969$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 33c | 1,831$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…3014backed Yes | 30c | 1,795$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…3886backed Yes | 66c | 1,460$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…bf27backed Yes | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…8329backed Yes | 30c | 1,401$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…7effbacked No | 6c | 1,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 42c | 1,235$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.56 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…0408backed Yes | 60c | 1,201$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6d…d04abacked Yes | 50c | 1,181$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…9903backed No | 27c | 1,127$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…ecaabacked No | 18c | 1,107$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…19f7backed No | 51c | 1,097$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…c8e6backed No | 5c | 1,007$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…dd3ebacked No | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked No | 10c | 960.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…c539backed Yes | 15c | 798.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 761.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed No | 10c | 758.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…c0ebbacked Yes | 11c | 751.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +814.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…6844backed No | 4c | 715.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +552.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…690abacked No | 66c | 575.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 9c | 571.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013c…04a1backed No | 6c | 512.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked No | 42c | 500.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…a32fbacked No | 26c | 500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked No | 4c | 486.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…3ae3backed Yes | 10c | 486.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +386.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 2c | 479.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6a86backed Yes | 11c | 466.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.19 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 459.92$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.46 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…35ffbacked No | 14c | 405.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…32c8backed No | 65c | 402.16$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…3041backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed No | 72c | 332$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…5c54backed Yes | 9c | 324.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…df43backed No | 13c | 319.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…ebe8backed No | 10c | 302.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 21c | 285.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2f9dbacked No | 12c | 247.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…188cbacked No | 5c | 245.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 58c | 230$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…d892backed No | 7c | 227.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…e509backed No | 6c | 210.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 37c | 209.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…7101backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…57a4backed Yes | 68c | 172.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…da06backed No | 66c | 157.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…512dbacked Yes | 69c | 145.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0357…c4e9backed Yes | 71c | 141.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…d2a8backed Yes | 16c | 128.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +167%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…e3b5backed Yes | 54c | 117.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…a49cbacked No | 13c | 100.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…6ff5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 22c | 74.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…48d9backed Yes | 67c | 57.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 31c | 53.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 37c | 46.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…b9f3backed No | 70c | 31.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…5f64backed No | 48c | 31.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…acfbbacked No | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…090dbacked No | 50c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…e9c6backed No | 70c | 28.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4e…6f6bbacked Yes | 38c | 28.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…6f0cbacked Yes | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…6368backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?this page
- Aleo airdrop in 2024?No won
- Astaria airdrop in 2024?No won
- Avail airdrop in 2024?No won
- Base airdrop in 2024?No won
- Berachain airdrop in 2024?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No won
- Jumper airdrop in 2024?No won
- Linea airdrop in 2024?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No won
- Puffer airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rabby airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in 2024?No won
- Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.