Token Launches · resolved market
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e477ed0c992ca7847f2762e30db6759dfdfd0ebdceb78770c208ace3311e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 15,054$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.71 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c6…dba8backed Yes | 2c | 13,357$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…53d1backed Yes | 16c | 11,393$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637e…3c94backed No | 50c | 9,198$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…6b35backed Yes | 50c | 9,198$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 18c | 5,931$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 21c | 4,370$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 3,849$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 3c | 2,479$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 2,333$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…4e32backed Yes | 2c | 2,323$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…b8f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,211$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 51c | 1,856$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 66c | 1,629$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…76b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,169$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 5c | 982.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…319abacked Yes | 9c | 980.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…803bbacked Yes | 36c | 852.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…344ebacked Yes | 2c | 762.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…272fbacked Yes | 53c | 748.01$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…dcd2backed No | 80c | 732.34$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…fb5dbacked Yes | 6c | 700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 7c | 670.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 53c | 628.38$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 17c | 626.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 29c | 583.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 71c | 571.76$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 16c | 527$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 80c | 460.66$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…2fd0backed Yes | 49c | 449.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Yes | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…0fe1backed Yes | 8c | 391.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…0cb6backed Yes | 24c | 355$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…28bbbacked Yes | 14c | 346.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…b256backed Yes | 20c | 338.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa5…ec41backed Yes | 3c | 330.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 24c | 315.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6a86backed Yes | 16c | 311.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…51ffbacked Yes | 4c | 309.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…98fbbacked Yes | 25c | 308.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…78eabacked Yes | 31c | 307.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…9937backed Yes | 19c | 302.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…6308backed No | 69c | 289.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…825fbacked No | 30c | 266.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 5c | 255.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 22c | 254.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d02fbacked No | 58c | 254$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed Yes | 60c | 249.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…84b5backed Yes | 6c | 225.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…55cebacked No | 71c | 205.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea01…c767backed Yes | 49c | 204.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…3174backed Yes | 22c | 198.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…c59bbacked Yes | 6c | 189.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…39efbacked Yes | 21c | 187.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…7340backed No | 69c | 175.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…7a56backed No | 68c | 171.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…5e05backed Yes | 30c | 165.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b09…a97dbacked No | 75c | 165.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd0…4d91backed No | 70c | 163.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…da3dbacked No | 74c | 162.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926e…105bbacked No | 66c | 157.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8362…5198backed No | 77c | 155.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…30d8backed No | 77c | 154.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…9c25backed No | 78c | 152.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…5c54backed Yes | 14c | 152.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…bc50backed No | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e8d2backed No | 75c | 148.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 8c | 148$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a5…341bbacked No | 69c | 146.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…9b78backed No | 80c | 144.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…8eabbacked No | 75c | 141.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…e0dabacked No | 77c | 141.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…1f0bbacked No | 77c | 141.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 46c | 141.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…e574backed Yes | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…2ea8backed Yes | 17c | 127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…775fbacked Yes | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…440ebacked No | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 23c | 123.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…a799backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…1829backed Yes | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…1ab8backed No | 66c | 108.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…ec9abacked Yes | 22c | 108.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 36c | 107.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…35fabacked Yes | 43c | 106.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3566backed No | 70c | 102.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daa…b3bebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…db91backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…ce0ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…1e15backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25f…8966backed Yes | 42c | 99.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…4441backed Yes | 35c | 98.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?this page
- Aleo airdrop in 2024?No won
- Astaria airdrop in 2024?No won
- Avail airdrop in 2024?No won
- Base airdrop in 2024?No won
- Berachain airdrop in 2024?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No won
- Jumper airdrop in 2024?No won
- Linea airdrop in 2024?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Puffer airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Rabby airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in 2024?No won
- Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.