Token Launches · resolved market
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0364877def147d66fe14016ecb3c3ce83b65e712326e9681ab123d8ad0fc32bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 2c | 34,575$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.14 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 9c | 21,637$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…5c39backed No | 4c | 9,187$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 10c | 7,362$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 6,853$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe984…6bccbacked No | 17c | 5,470$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 11c | 4,995$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.14 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 4,161$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.43 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…07c8backed No | 38c | 1,872$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 12c | 1,825$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5326…6c38backed No | 9c | 1,639$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…7807backed No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 79c | 1,320$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…5c54backed No | 10c | 1,219$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…c4cdbacked No | 11c | 843.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 10c | 803.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 6c | 723.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 3c | 715.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 11c | 665.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…5df2backed No | 15c | 664.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed No | 9c | 582.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 15c | 549.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…ee1fbacked No | 6c | 525$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…59bdbacked No | 8c | 521$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7343…2166backed No | 26c | 511.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…6844backed No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +552.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea19…add9backed No | 13c | 356.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6843…0c78backed Yes | 77c | 350.22$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed No | 8c | 329.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…cb7fbacked No | 16c | 317.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…9c46backed No | 14c | 224.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 8c | 221.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 6c | 202.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…60e6backed No | 12c | 198.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…eb4fbacked No | 9c | 192.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…b256backed No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 11c | 158.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 10c | 152.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked No | 8c | 149.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed No | 9c | 142.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…485ebacked No | 12c | 135.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked No | 8c | 130.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a597backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…eac1backed No | 17c | 119.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…8508backed No | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0202backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed No | 10c | 96.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 77c | 89.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 19c | 75.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 24c | 57.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…2dffbacked Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…8391backed Yes | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +324.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…ad02backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zircuit airdrop in 2024?this page
- Aleo airdrop in 2024?No won
- Astaria airdrop in 2024?No won
- Avail airdrop in 2024?No won
- Base airdrop in 2024?No won
- Berachain airdrop in 2024?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No won
- Jumper airdrop in 2024?No won
- Linea airdrop in 2024?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Puffer airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rabby airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in 2024?No won
- Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.