Token Launches · resolved market
Scroll airdrop in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de9d7305a368f6c21757fe4da810f04b8f125106f5714df4aa14aeea36f9e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 1c | 140,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 36,157$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed No | 0c | 31,021$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 1c | 10,490$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…0b02backed No | 2c | 9,943$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…4bdcbacked No | 1c | 6,661$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…c469backed No | 1c | 6,326$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5f…134cbacked No | 2c | 5,800$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…95c1backed No | 1c | 5,580$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…44d2backed No | 1c | 5,388$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed No | 0c | 5,177$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…c064backed No | 0c | 4,046$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…9d98backed No | 1c | 3,777$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 1c | 3,624$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…e47cbacked No | 1c | 3,486$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…53acbacked No | 1c | 3,229$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed No | 10c | 1,464$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed No | 1c | 1,301$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked No | 1c | 1,249$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…87cbbacked No | 18c | 1,243$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…655ebacked No | 13c | 1,231$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…8456backed No | 1c | 1,211$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9e96backed No | 4c | 999.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed No | 1c | 736.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…83fcbacked No | 5c | 575.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…976fbacked No | 8c | 491.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…cfdfbacked No | 16c | 488.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…84b2backed No | 16c | 482.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…cab3backed No | 15c | 445.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 12c | 432.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…b5c7backed No | 15c | 425.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8503…1893backed No | 17c | 407.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…9f5ebacked No | 15c | 403.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…f95dbacked No | 15c | 385.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…cb2bbacked No | 17c | 384.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ae5dbacked No | 17c | 383.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…37ebbacked No | 18c | 368.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…3c3dbacked No | 14c | 367.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…edc8backed No | 15c | 366.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…f1d8backed No | 20c | 356.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1302…71fabacked No | 12c | 355.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…4a9bbacked No | 16c | 348.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…754dbacked No | 18c | 342.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…77b1backed No | 13c | 334.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…3df9backed No | 18c | 331.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…4ffdbacked No | 18c | 330.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…17aebacked No | 18c | 324.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…d124backed No | 15c | 306$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…ffb3backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…ebedbacked No | 15c | 299.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0703…daf6backed No | 13c | 287.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…dab5backed No | 18c | 286.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b452backed No | 20c | 283.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…4b67backed No | 15c | 272.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…2719backed No | 25c | 271.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ca…9b14backed No | 15c | 269.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…ab2fbacked No | 26c | 268.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…a0cabacked No | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…ddbcbacked No | 9c | 245.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…7cf6backed No | 15c | 232.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…176dbacked No | 15c | 216.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…015bbacked No | 15c | 214.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…b600backed No | 29c | 202.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…7cd9backed No | 7c | 199.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…cc85backed No | 16c | 197.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…cbf9backed No | 38c | 181.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 12c | 163.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce57…6d48backed No | 39c | 151.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…d922backed No | 46c | 147.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…a060backed No | 18c | 134.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed No | 16c | 128.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…fe11backed No | 30c | 128.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…86cbbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…d818backed No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 19c | 117.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…2629backed No | 40c | 115.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 13c | 114.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…b571backed No | 17c | 105.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…ab20backed No | 29c | 104.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…2765backed No | 15c | 102.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…d030backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…d8c5backed No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 19c | 99.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…05ebbacked No | 15c | 96.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…1d9abacked No | 11c | 94.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…3e3cbacked No | 16c | 92.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…d513backed No | 15c | 73.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d8…e828backed Yes | 72c | 66.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…3726backed No | 15c | 66.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 17c | 66.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…70adbacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8d…fc8abacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…c843backed Yes | 76c | 39.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scroll airdrop in 2024?this page
- Aleo airdrop in 2024?No won
- Astaria airdrop in 2024?No won
- Avail airdrop in 2024?No won
- Base airdrop in 2024?No won
- Berachain airdrop in 2024?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No won
- Jumper airdrop in 2024?No won
- Linea airdrop in 2024?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Puffer airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rabby airdrop in 2024?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in 2024?No won
- Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes won
- Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.