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Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,575,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,650,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,575,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,092 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Yes67c373,505$251,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,991.692556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No32c248,698$80,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,631.048940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c119,721$27,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,919.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No33c112,919$36,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,956.3524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed No33c68,267$22,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,868.762748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c52,846$36,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,382.271,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No31c50,526$15,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,663.012552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes67c50,000$33,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,50027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes69c50,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,50031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No31c49,772$15,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,429.2128355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No33c47,941$15,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,582.3321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes67c37,099$24,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,242.6714544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No31c35,771$11,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,134.4714450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes67c33,502$22,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,17523350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes67c30,000$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,90018958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c28,042$18,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,589.462,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No32c24,431$7,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,817.9510236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No34c24,186$8,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,223.110849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No29c20,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.9931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes68c18,190$12,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.916357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No5c17,670$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.6710042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No3c17,299$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.5517745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No35c15,552$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.1229253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No5c14,711$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.0713727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c12,689$8,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.21,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No33c12,500$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.9713852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes71c11,597$8,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.627035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c11,000$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes69c10,371$7,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.13551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadb7…91b4backed No2c10,277$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.53520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No20c9,211$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.2556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c8,544$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c7,057$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.784,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c6,940$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.191305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No32c6,579$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.412839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No31c6,500$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01518433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Yes69c6,343$4,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed No4c6,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes67c6,224$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.8810737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd8…557abacked Yes70c6,177$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.492437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d2…2be9backed No32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No3c5,600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1746334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes66c5,555$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.71546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No2c4,692$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No34c4,500$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53018948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes67c4,499$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.5920646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes67c4,364$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.285160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No4c4,197$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.878646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16048150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9357…042ebacked Yes70c3,857$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No18c3,805$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No31c3,758$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.096450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes66c3,728$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.361,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No33c3,649$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.1311346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No30c3,590$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.143745.9%17 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes69c3,478$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes69c3,331$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.647844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed No31c3,200$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes65c3,186$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.181,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No27c3,000$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.97110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No20c2,878$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.6330739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No33c2,784$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90829458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d80…cd30backed Yes64c2,778$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.081154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No28c2,755$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.4879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes74c2,473$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No31c2,442$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.341,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes66c2,406$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.1549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes69c2,355$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.8415757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes72c2,090$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.0828736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No34c2,053$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.025337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes69c2,038$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.31,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes67c2,024$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.9914254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6702…2539backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.994643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b6…3eacbacked No31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.99757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed No31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes69c1,851$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.674930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes67c1,791$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.049537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No32c1,670$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.410159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No34c1,655$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.714754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes67c1,631$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.265352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed No32c1,600$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes68c1,544$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No9c1,502$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13315245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked No32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07a…fb98backed No31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes67c1,500$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.131656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8309…62b1backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No30c1,443$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9158445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes78c1,430$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.720239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes69c1,390$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9918740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.