TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes22c6,402$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c5,684$4,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.272,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes3c5,053$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c3,314$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes4c2,610$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7150%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed No80c2,376$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4011…479cbacked Yes20c2,258$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c2,226$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c2,003$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed Yes21c1,850$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes22c1,469$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes25c1,414$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No79c1,254$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes21c1,140$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes21c1,002$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9357…042ebacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x369e…e1dcbacked Yes23c896.87$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d6…9d27backed Yes20c892.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes3c732.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9820239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes26c700.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No79c623$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.831,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c536.43$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.61,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes4c526.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes21c523.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes4c513.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87328.8%21 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes20c511$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No78c499.97$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes22c499.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9910333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef7e…cfe3backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c425.67$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes23c364.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.742544%11 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8075…52eebacked Yes24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes20c338$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2baa…e6dbbacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0167…5b48backed Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Yes21c256$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.765832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2913…29dfbacked Yes13c233.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes21c233.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes22c227.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.042532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f9…edbfbacked Yes30c166.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes9c162.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes22c160.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.619336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5770…0a3bbacked Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4801…0c0ebacked Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f0…7b1fbacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No79c132$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.383145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2516160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d8…d41fbacked Yes22c123.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.217955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…f191backed Yes11c112.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes15c110.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943d…7aa1backed Yes20c104$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x716d…eaf2backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21258%2 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d12…1a3abacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec60…9423backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c3…8640backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc1…f780backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…a44bbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes21c80.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18fe…1c35backed Yes20c74.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…fcd3backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No79c69.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2515452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes20c64.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.939637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…862ebacked Yes19c51.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df8…475cbacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5f6…8cfdbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf135…b072backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…5ecbbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…a57ebacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102864.3%18 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No72c49.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.932850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes28c44.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.573938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.