Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6d94166622df9ef7f7f4af250d49ba55f10ac037759b049444fb4e9c585fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 28,430$14,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,419.52 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 22,719$11,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,855.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 79c | 21,397$16,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 12,626$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 53c | 10,576$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 44c | 6,981$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 47c | 5,590$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 61c | 4,636$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.63 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 4,068$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.84 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 38c | 3,318$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,078$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 49c | 2,573$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,323$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,999$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 44c | 1,613$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.75 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 48c | 1,455$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 47c | 1,454$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,412$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 55c | 1,344$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 51c | 1,171$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…a01fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,155$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,072$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.68 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked No | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 48c | 995.3$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 994.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.17 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 53c | 935$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 53c | 935$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 55c | 741.53$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 26c | 699.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 46c | 693$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 46c | 653.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 47c | 627.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.38 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 45c | 560.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…686ebacked Yes | 48c | 523.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 49c | 512.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 46c | 509.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 55c | 450.73$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 32c | 413.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 56c | 406.89$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 39c | 385.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 47c | 369.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 46c | 362.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 350.55$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 56c | 350$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 323.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 29c | 322.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…f9d4backed Yes | 56c | 310.77$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes | 36c | 310$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 74c | 305.62$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 45c | 294.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 36c | 293.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0bddbacked Yes | 31c | 287.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 267.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 42c | 225$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 47c | 210.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 210$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 207.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550a…0b68backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…cc94backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ff9dbacked Yes | 41c | 199.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 33c | 197.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 55c | 193.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 182.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…15febacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 47c | 175.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 71c | 169.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…bff4backed Yes | 55c | 161.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 35c | 156.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 43c | 155.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 151.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.