Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf599867c2694e5c0a7f079442735318f3529686065da4154785d657c93525652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 23c | 60,031$13,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,775.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 31,817$24,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 23c | 27,000$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 22c | 18,214$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.68 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 77c | 17,000$13,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 75c | 14,363$10,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.68 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 77c | 13,622$10,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.08 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 20c | 12,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 78c | 11,296$8,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 76c | 10,679$8,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.2 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 23c | 9,126$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.07 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 77c | 7,818$6,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 77c | 6,864$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.38 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 23c | 6,054$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 19c | 6,021$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.98 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 80c | 5,811$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 17c | 5,797$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.83 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 5,659$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 18c | 5,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 23c | 5,200$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 76c | 4,444$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 77c | 3,895$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 78c | 3,863$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 76c | 3,693$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 19c | 3,555$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Yes | 80c | 3,300$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 19c | 2,891$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 23c | 2,846$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 2,550$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,989$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.42 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 78c | 1,875$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 20c | 1,677$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked Yes | 79c | 1,253$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,136$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 20c | 823.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…f3ebbacked Yes | 78c | 796.64$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…23cbbacked Yes | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 78c | 705.13$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 80c | 687.18$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424b…9fc8backed No | 19c | 670$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 77c | 648.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 19c | 628.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 80c | 500.05$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 78c | 500$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 78c | 454$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 13c | 430$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 361.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 75c | 360.43$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 78c | 312.17$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37e…2d8abacked Yes | 78c | 298.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 77c | 277.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b839backed Yes | 75c | 267.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…4b31backed Yes | 75c | 261.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…492dbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…6b55backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…cd4abacked Yes | 80c | 208.55$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…8eb2backed Yes | 78c | 175.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 77c | 172$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…b694backed Yes | 80c | 171.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 19c | 155.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 19c | 149.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 24c | 149.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 78c | 145.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 20c | 144$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 136.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…bff4backed Yes | 78c | 129.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…3ebfbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 75c | 111.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…22c4backed Yes | 80c | 105.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Yes | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…7581backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…5fd8backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…1896backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked No | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.