Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58447259a201189fd02c9158bc92ea81e4ad0f9be2f468c4f09ff09618a58104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 66c | 75,949$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,949.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 45,053$13,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 65c | 40,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 37,427$12,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,242.19 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 35c | 33,498$11,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,724.39 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 38c | 22,368$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.92 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 35c | 17,586$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 16,928$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 34c | 14,705$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.7 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 35c | 12,651$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.78 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 65c | 11,056$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.25 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 63c | 9,513$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 75c | 9,290$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 65c | 6,707$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 5,093$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.69 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 4,920$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.69 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Yes | 62c | 4,729$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 33c | 4,700$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 75c | 4,560$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.66 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 4,530$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.86 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 76c | 4,226$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 35c | 3,924$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.13 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 3,862$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.81 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 38c | 3,060$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.64 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 68c | 2,946$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,903$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Yes | 74c | 2,880$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 2,631$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.61 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 1,867$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.65 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…7e15backed Yes | 65c | 1,631$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 63c | 1,560$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.71 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 1,452$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.83 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 25c | 1,416$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.72 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 1,339$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.11 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…833dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,320$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 1,308$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.55 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 33c | 1,279$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 37c | 1,219$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.68 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 62c | 1,216$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.13 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 35c | 1,140$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…75b9backed Yes | 77c | 1,103$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 35c | 1,100$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 1,081$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…aa61backed Yes | 62c | 1,003$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 39c | 998.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 61c | 968.37$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 76c | 921.82$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 67c | 895.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 62c | 879.03$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…6d4dbacked Yes | 67c | 866.46$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 855.81$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cc…1934backed No | 33c | 769.7$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 66c | 649.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 34c | 594.65$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 539.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Yes | 74c | 537.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 35c | 512.39$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 10c | 479.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 66c | 471.87$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 33c | 465.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 21c | 455.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…9d2cbacked Yes | 65c | 403.1$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 74c | 380$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 39c | 374$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 60c | 359.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c0…a76cbacked Yes | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 69c | 336.58$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…1839backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Yes | 78c | 313.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Yes | 64c | 313$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…5c1cbacked Yes | 77c | 308.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…45f4backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.