TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed No2c29,606$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.111861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c29,507$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,688.131,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No30c17,889$5,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,289.073151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes74c17,262$12,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.541060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes74c16,572$12,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.25666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No25c12,224$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.953050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No27c11,232$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.8114452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No27c10,642$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.6211355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes75c9,353$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.92366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No26c8,725$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.5413050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes73c8,244$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.62450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No27c6,513$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.1835037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No27c6,126$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.774551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c5,940$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No27c5,777$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.6221560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No26c5,358$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.7614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No27c5,030$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes74c4,098$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes71c4,067$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…0434backed Yes74c3,908$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No25c3,330$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.542832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes72c3,300$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.586842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No25c2,840$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No25c2,800$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.994932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes74c2,685$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.488435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.672166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes75c2,657$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes74c2,564$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No1c2,131$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.444348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes71c1,893$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.351,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No5c1,793$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.091040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6384…3c83backed Yes75c1,645$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No4c1,553$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes74c1,532$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.58366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes74c1,494$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68b8…5401backed Yes76c1,397$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x278a…95dbbacked Yes72c1,359$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes74c1,352$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.52475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.352634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes67c1,305$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.089140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c7b…c339backed Yes69c1,225$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes72c1,203$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c1,203$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No27c1,199$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.383145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes74c1,174$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341e…9b67backed Yes74c1,173$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No32c1,027$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.493348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes75c821.81$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes75c785.57$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.394959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes74c782.43$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes68c736$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.521181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes75c735.49$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.491656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57af…1a28backed Yes71c715.11$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes79c700$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes73c685.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes73c663.01$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6919055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd58…99bebacked No28c604.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked Yes74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No27c434.21$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.337926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes68c418.73$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.111656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85db…0d12backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No28c395.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes75c360$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No14c354.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes74c352$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes72c333.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.712138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes74c332$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.329156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No25c329.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes74c319.59$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Yes75c314.12$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1321…2286backed No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbea…1595backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes74c270.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-77.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24d5…cf40backed Yes75c268.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb997…9fd9backed Yes74c256.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No25c240.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.633158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No28c238$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.885736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x105f…b392backed Yes76c229.63$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No27c214.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes71c213.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No30c213$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.92642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes76c205$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed Yes74c203$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.