TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$653,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$738,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 989 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No46c108,770$50,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,722.374,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c60,000$19,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,698.199028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes53c60,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,50017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No34c43,964$15,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,943.582646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No36c36,155$12,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,295.3927453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadd…2564backed Yes66c30,288$19,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,990.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No32c29,364$9,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,967.852250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No45c28,592$12,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,767.399459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes57c27,140$15,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,469.86051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes67c23,035$15,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,532.655841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No43c22,499$9,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,840.677445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No32c21,400$6,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,551.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+64.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes66c20,332$13,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,389.242365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No35c14,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,099.893925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes64c11,767$7,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,497650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes66c10,931$7,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,209.815940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes66c10,080$6,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,642.23714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7004461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes65c9,702$6,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,306.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes65c8,331$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415.222556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No32c8,276$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,627.357321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes27c8,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1504922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No34c7,971$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,226.071827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No35c7,879$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.135253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No33c7,754$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,190.015232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No32c7,350$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.873240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No34c7,129$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.0415750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c6,704$4,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,621.3350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No34c5,400$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.083218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes57c5,256$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes65c4,983$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No33c4,818$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.951050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e3…68b4backed Yes69c4,800$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,31220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes68c4,669$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1961030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c4,539$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.0979133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes68c4,532$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.782334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No40c4,478$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.7512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c4,097$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.956160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Yes65c4,030$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes65c3,845$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes68c3,692$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb89e…7a29backed Yes69c3,625$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No33c3,291$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.271926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No33c2,980$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.66431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes68c2,886$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.568552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes62c2,885$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No39c2,828$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.4453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Yes65c2,768$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes67c2,679$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.811258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes68c2,640$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes57c2,432$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes68c2,384$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.0328055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed Yes60c2,356$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d6…00d5backed Yes67c2,279$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.1250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No32c2,176$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.542927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c2,102$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.7774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes52c2,024$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No38c1,999$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.1717155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes66c1,965$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.07850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7b…c339backed Yes64c1,902$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes69c1,874$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.973447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No35c1,805$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.394959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes69c1,787$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes54c1,749$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.463756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Yes65c1,740$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No63c1,678$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.979450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes65c1,666$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes66c1,566$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes68c1,552$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…13d4backed Yes68c1,535$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes63c1,529$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.927045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f93…cb87backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes62c1,500$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9353540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes53c1,477$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abb…452ebacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes67c1,467$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.842152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No32c1,456$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.8311260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes69c1,440$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.321861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf4…680ebacked Yes65c1,400$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes56c1,394$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.645058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes66c1,365$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86e…4a33backed Yes68c1,332$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc48…e792backed Yes69c1,308$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72820255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c1,296$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.023,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes58c1,295$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.4937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe461…0bd9backed Yes68c1,203$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Yes67c1,199$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes59c1,196$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes65c1,157$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.185952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed No49c1,113$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c1,112$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.7928342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes68c1,110$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2f…fd67backed Yes58c1,101$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked No33c1,100$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e0…89acbacked Yes56c1,056$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes68c1,035$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.