La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68c40ef9cf4cf6ad0a89478e927609e92bd0b04bf4786e3a53a09ff2eb06170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 78c | 7,308$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.86 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 4,814$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 35c | 4,560$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 38c | 4,426$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.49 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 20c | 2,983$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 46c | 2,111$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.41 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 1,651$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.17 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 20c | 1,432$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 1,391$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.97 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 20c | 1,252$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,221$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 833.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 21c | 765$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.35 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 730.42$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.74 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 31c | 699.13$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 22c | 695.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked No | 79c | 649.99$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 585$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 59c | 512.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 19c | 469.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.69 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Yes | 56c | 446.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 20c | 445.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 52c | 235.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 232.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Yes | 80c | 221.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 80c | 205$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed Yes | 57c | 202.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed No | 62c | 199.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2043backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 32c | 136.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 67c | 134.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ab6dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dd…96d3backed Yes | 20c | 125.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 16c | 121.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…e27ebacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 20c | 114.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 111$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 110.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…72e3backed Yes | 20c | 109$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…7152backed Yes | 23c | 107.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 28c | 100.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…b69ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fce…8731backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 70c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 49c | 95.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…cd75backed Yes | 71c | 92.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 49c | 81.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 44c | 79.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 25c | 78.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 30c | 65.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 61.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…769fbacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 80c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 75c | 51.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 79c | 47.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…57aebacked Yes | 69c | 41.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd7…4074backed Yes | 79c | 34.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4c82backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…01d2backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…6a49backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…8194backed Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.