La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94d0c3dc479cdca49d103b916a62e51691f73b66daff69ecf3310f3fb3bcb40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $922,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,068,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 20c | 80,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 18c | 73,566$13,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,241.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 42,656$7,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 18c | 35,624$6,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.32 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 18c | 35,059$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 28,321$22,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 80c | 25,122$20,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.31 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 18c | 23,067$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 18c | 14,390$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 8,494$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.89 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 19c | 8,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 7,327$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.01 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked No | 18c | 7,056$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 18c | 7,001$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 18c | 6,600$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 18c | 6,456$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 18c | 6,001$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.18 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 18c | 5,800$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 19c | 5,504$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.03 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 74c | 5,257$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 18c | 5,084$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 18c | 4,917$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.06 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 18c | 4,820$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 78c | 4,483$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.82 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 17c | 4,064$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.85 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…eaa7backed No | 19c | 3,654$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 18c | 3,549$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.32 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 8c | 3,465$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 19c | 2,901$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.15 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 13c | 2,883$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 17c | 2,730$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,603$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.7 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 20c | 2,560$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.81 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked No | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 19c | 2,122$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.26 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 2,066$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 19c | 1,700$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.07 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe789…f60dbacked No | 7c | 1,571$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,490$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 20c | 1,347$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 20c | 1,220$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 80c | 1,116$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 1,054$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 19c | 845.18$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 79c | 830$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 74c | 803.11$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 18c | 750$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 74c | 697.35$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…064cbacked No | 13c | 640.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Yes | 73c | 636.45$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 26c | 621.72$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…9eb9backed No | 21c | 601.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 20c | 587$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 20c | 581$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b098backed No | 21c | 562.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 78c | 560.64$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…e260backed No | 19c | 547.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed No | 21c | 543.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 75c | 533.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 399.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Yes | 75c | 398.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 74c | 390.61$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…8f2cbacked Yes | 75c | 389.77$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed No | 20c | 364.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 21c | 362.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 353.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9cc5backed Yes | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 77c | 289.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 80c | 280.22$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…050abacked No | 14c | 219.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 19c | 207$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 74c | 201.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.