La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c8172a4eb48cac9e37de3892b8c8965d99ce0ed6bc4db122c081b11ecf391f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 6c | 16,462$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 5c | 15,647$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.12 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 15,380$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 10c | 12,132$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.36 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 11,241$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.68 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 7c | 9,491$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 7c | 7,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 5,050$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 9c | 3,234$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 3,123$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 4c | 2,600$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 1,943$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,566$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,273$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…7d31backed Yes | 8c | 1,220$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…3625backed Yes | 7c | 1,094$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0c…2c92backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…7a93backed Yes | 8c | 962.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 854.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 7c | 847.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…20a5backed Yes | 7c | 702.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 8c | 603.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed Yes | 4c | 581.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 8c | 500.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…73f0backed Yes | 7c | 498.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…89d7backed Yes | 6c | 380.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 7c | 330$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 8c | 325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 9c | 309.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 306$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9b25backed Yes | 8c | 291.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed Yes | 8c | 289.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 5c | 280$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…2769backed Yes | 6c | 272.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…cebdbacked Yes | 7c | 270.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 8c | 260.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…8835backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b8…ef60backed Yes | 8c | 243.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…eaf0backed Yes | 7c | 215$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 9c | 212.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 6c | 183.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cd…5cb9backed Yes | 8c | 177.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 8c | 155.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…c54cbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 9c | 114.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.