La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11eafe9c704fa9a3707bee39a428609e981bedf5d8d429b6dd9c67ef5664aa8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 15c | 5,143$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 4c | 3,351$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 16c | 2,882$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.4 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,681$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.07 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,009$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,419$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 12c | 1,248$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,235$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 12c | 999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 6c | 670.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 16c | 606.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7251backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 13c | 486$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…0c01backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 12c | 369.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 6c | 325.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 304.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…847dbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 12c | 290$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 13c | 282$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 13c | 233.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 16c | 201.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…8ef8backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 12c | 165.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…0240backed Yes | 10c | 164.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 12c | 162.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…f235backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…8835backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…4ac0backed Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 12c | 97.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 14c | 73.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.