Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c8dbf1688746b182c18fc20b8795ba0fd9b5e5dd3195f81f6e00395e97c9cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $935,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 673 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 138,602$30,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,256.04 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 73c | 99,305$72,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,563.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 92,172$66,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,941.33 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 70,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,299.93 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 29c | 46,716$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,596.56 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 28c | 44,825$12,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,756.33 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 41,951$11,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,693.94 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 71c | 30,001$21,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,775.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 24,738$17,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.84 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 23,041$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032.99 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 28c | 22,419$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.29 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 70c | 21,754$15,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.61 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 28c | 20,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.96 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 26c | 19,230$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.8 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 18,988$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.28 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 72c | 13,890$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 12,740$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 30c | 10,902$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.56 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 28c | 9,912$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 27c | 9,733$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.2 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 29c | 9,332$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.46 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 27c | 8,988$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.97 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 8,866$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.78 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 72c | 7,968$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 71c | 7,856$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.9 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 74c | 7,557$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 72c | 7,490$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.1 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 72c | 6,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 29c | 6,688$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 72c | 6,578$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 28c | 6,570$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.82 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 29c | 5,925$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 28c | 5,825$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 5,650$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.6 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 28c | 5,645$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.53 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 28c | 4,408$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.31 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 71c | 4,246$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.34 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 71c | 4,197$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 4,189$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.86 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…9a28backed Yes | 71c | 3,828$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 73c | 3,824$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Yes | 71c | 3,500$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 71c | 3,195$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,928$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.46 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 14c | 2,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 26c | 2,500$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 27c | 2,455$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.79 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 29c | 2,300$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 72c | 2,091$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 72c | 2,076$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…e28abacked Yes | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Yes | 72c | 2,029$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 75cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 2,015$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.15 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 1,980$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 30c | 1,897$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.21 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 27c | 1,733$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,702$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.06 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 30c | 1,653$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 79c | 1,629$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,590$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 29c | 1,528$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.17 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 71c | 1,507$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 27c | 1,496$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 29c | 1,440$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 1,430$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 29c | 1,422$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.25 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 71c | 1,398$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 27c | 1,393$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 29c | 1,352$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 1,334$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.88 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…8a96backed Yes | 70c | 1,318$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Yes | 71c | 1,314$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Yes | 78c | 1,307$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa2…410dbacked No | 29c | 1,200$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 25c | 1,186$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Yes | 71c | 1,181$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 21c | 1,163$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 1,055$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.69 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,020$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…a20abacked Yes | 73c | 983.18$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 27c | 980.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.18 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 17c | 955.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 70c | 942.86$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 29c | 888$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.