Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12cea93f57c60dab3297f3b828668a35550049cc5ff2f5b34d0d0cc325b3fe12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 12c | 16,660$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 14,954$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 8,205$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.99 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 6,063$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.94 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…673bbacked Yes | 10c | 6,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…0542backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 4,318$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.84 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 11c | 2,942$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Yes | 11c | 2,479$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,982$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,947$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 11c | 1,659$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,542$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,170$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…6096backed Yes | 10c | 1,079$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 1,048$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 11c | 1,048$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…0e18backed Yes | 5c | 1,017$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 11c | 604.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 11c | 590.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 548$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 11c | 543.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 398.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 12c | 252.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 12c | 241$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 8c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…e6d8backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…d85dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…7c34backed Yes | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 11c | 136.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 11c | 124.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 12c | 103.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…2c2abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.