Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751ca25043da33cab8c9142c0172ce955bd4a8bb6a162c4f87ddaa83325bf21b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,129,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,648,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,129,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 853 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 332,591$68,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,178.38 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 79c | 258,597$205,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,549.25 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 80c | 256,442$205,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,288.44 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 21c | 118,786$24,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,769.41 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 20c | 103,535$20,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,706.93 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 20c | 92,508$18,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,519.34 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 19c | 67,284$12,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,795.66 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 21c | 56,176$11,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,734.77 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 79c | 47,004$37,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.3 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 22c | 30,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 78c | 26,242$20,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 79c | 25,685$20,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 24,520$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.8 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 22c | 23,263$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 22c | 21,063$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.84 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 20,190$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.72 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…7a40backed Yes | 78c | 17,072$13,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 20c | 16,749$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.84 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 19c | 16,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 21c | 14,999$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.88 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…47eebacked Yes | 79c | 14,428$11,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 22c | 12,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 21c | 11,558$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 21c | 11,361$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.73 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 19c | 10,723$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.32 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 21c | 10,372$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 73c | 10,000$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.92 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 20c | 9,382$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.48 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 18c | 8,883$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.78 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 20c | 8,270$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 21c | 8,142$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.97 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…e133backed Yes | 80c | 8,062$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 20c | 7,090$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.91 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 18c | 6,732$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.63 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 80c | 6,697$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 6,596$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.69 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 79c | 6,535$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 6,405$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…35e6backed Yes | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 21c | 6,055$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.54 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 21c | 5,977$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.74 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 80c | 5,952$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 20c | 5,757$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 20c | 5,475$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 19c | 5,188$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.7 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 21c | 4,830$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 22c | 4,677$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 22c | 4,482$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.98 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 22c | 4,386$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 74c | 4,221$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…0dd6backed Yes | 79c | 4,181$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 21c | 3,680$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 22c | 3,668$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.94 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 18c | 3,572$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.14 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 19c | 3,534$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.52 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 22c | 3,336$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 3,324$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.11 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…faa5backed Yes | 79c | 3,183$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 22c | 3,156$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Yes | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 21c | 3,120$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 3,115$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.07 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 21c | 3,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 79c | 2,947$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.97 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…cdb6backed Yes | 80c | 2,928$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…6e94backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 73c | 2,482$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…b16abacked Yes | 79c | 2,417$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,298$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 23c | 2,127$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 21c | 2,090$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 20c | 2,055$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 22c | 2,050$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 80c | 1,997$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 21c | 1,952$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.13 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 21c | 1,929$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.32 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,835$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…8d10backed Yes | 79c | 1,788$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 78c | 1,780$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…f99dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,741$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 80c | 1,736$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 22c | 1,663$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 78c | 1,634$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.65 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 21c | 1,604$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…3edebacked Yes | 80c | 1,546$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +106%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.