Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0bf59ced6837f8d3adccf131457b66c29b4f12f10b312e683779e089ebf4651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 14c | 4,386$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…339cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 14c | 2,222$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,006$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.74 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked No | 79c | 1,527$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 20c | 1,066$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 1,030$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 13c | 792.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 15c | 698.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 14c | 338$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 16c | 314.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 15c | 255.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 15c | 225$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…b184backed Yes | 16c | 215$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…0751backed Yes | 22c | 178.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf549…2ecbbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…6785backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 14c | 123$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +8.6wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x232b…8bd9backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…b772backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.