Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2538a1d8ab0b1daf60896fbc4ebc6d0d63417f05764601655cf40a3cdbfc730c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 0c | 60,515$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 6c | 44,737$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.19 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 37,518$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.43 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 5c | 9,657$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.41 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 5c | 9,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 6c | 8,234$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.07 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,708$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c58…11ebbacked Yes | 7c | 6,300$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 3c | 5,508$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,050$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb483…1c3cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes | 5c | 2,672$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…759abacked Yes | 7c | 2,561$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f175backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +262.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…3d3ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,090$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…786dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 6c | 1,939$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…339cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 6c | 1,740$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 6c | 1,720$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 6c | 1,608$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…2482backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,472$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 6c | 1,441$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 2c | 1,364$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c21…bddcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…d01dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…822bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,151$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 7c | 1,052$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 9c | 819.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 6c | 731.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 4c | 700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 6c | 561$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 6c | 552.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf549…2ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 546.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 11c | 541.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 6c | 527.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 7c | 521.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 3c | 430$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…8a4ebacked Yes | 4c | 365.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…062dbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 6c | 341.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…8cb2backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…7937backed Yes | 5c | 226.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…b184backed Yes | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 7c | 185.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 9c | 170.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 166.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…9b21backed Yes | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a7…ebdfbacked Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
- Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.