NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f156e330b432e8eb1ac8447b9f9f8c60420bb11a0b1ca6806c5bf1c9c5fe47

Rebuilt 22 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,220 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	51c	6,563$3,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,225.53	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	46c	5,182$2,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,382.32	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	54c	5,030$2,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,319.08	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	3,391$1,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,877.24	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	44c	3,039$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.62	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under	46c	2,043$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.73	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under	48c	1,238$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	274	62%170 W · 104 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	49c	1,238$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.47	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	56c	1,034$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under	58c	991.38$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	56c	803.45$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.5	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	39c	690.04$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.37	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	46c	567.97$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.75	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under	58c	374.18$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.02	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	66c	306.23$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.91	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Under	54c	290.74$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe311…b94cbacked Under	66c	262.79$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under	45c	198.78$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd1…4649backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	43c	153.46$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	54c	151.45$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.68	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	47c	137.08$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.24	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	48c	135.79$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.26	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6227…1888backed Under	58c	134.96$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.28	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…916dbacked Under	58c	130.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.65	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb49…769abacked Under	58c	130.16$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e1…1df7backed Under	66c	129.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65a2…2868backed Under	58c	124.88$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.43	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Over	40c	109.42$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.65	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…b4f6backed Under	58c	109.11$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.28	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	45c	107$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.86	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	39c	100.29$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.18	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	45c	99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.45	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	54c	95.84$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.65	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	43c	93.59$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.13	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	87.76$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Over	48c	83.31$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under	49c	81.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under	61c	79.79$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under	30c	71.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.66	111	28.8%32 W · 79 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	46c	60.38$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.36	168	67.3%113 W · 55 L	+13.8wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	47c	56.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	47c	55.72$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.03	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	43c	54$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.78	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	57c	54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under	62c	48.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over	71c	41.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.19	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf8…beb8backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under	61c	37.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfcf…11ddbacked Under	52c	37.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	58c	36.55$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	43c	36.54$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	123	64.2%79 W · 44 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b0…69c8backed Over	49c	36.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.53	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71e0…ffe9backed Over	39c	35.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.96	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over	50c	35.69$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.69	275	39.6%109 W · 166 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fab…3332backed Over	39c	33.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.74	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over	41c	33.17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	31.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over	46c	30.85$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	423	48.5%205 W · 218 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cd…e8d7backed Under	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over	49c	29.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.83	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	56c	28.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over	42c	26.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80bd…8c66backed Under	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-58%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7262…c2f1backed Under	60c	25.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	51c	24.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.09	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…c05fbacked Under	61c	18.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34d…bbe8backed Under	61c	17.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3392…73a3backed Under	61c	17.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa31a…e061backed Under	61c	16.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over	71c	16.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.62	178	44.4%79 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76ba…dcfdbacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Clippers won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Clippers vs. SpursSpurs won
Clippers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event