NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f4ff6d3b135e8947df99ae3ad5f9664f0c9e17796959751fa396748d4d9d49

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,701 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	55c	37,746$20,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,691.55	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	28,332$12,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,375.23	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	45c	18,187$8,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,017.49	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	54c	8,000$4,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,360	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	53c	7,755$4,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,128.62	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over	47c	5,532$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,931.91	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	53c	4,287$2,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,017.44	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	50c	3,702$1,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.9	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under	61c	2,589$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.06	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over	47c	2,010$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.32	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	55c	1,668$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.65	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	53c	1,540$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.23	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	44c	1,278$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.85	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under	51c	1,264$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.8	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	44c	1,200$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.18	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	931.66$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.68	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over	44c	819$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.64	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…b2d4backed Under	51c	721.41$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.92	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	45c	695.96$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.61	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	56c	547.5$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.6	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over	44c	312.48$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.93	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	56c	304.2$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.35	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	36c	286.34$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.74	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under	55c	269.64$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.3	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	55c	264.49$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.02	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Over	49c	210.3$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.8	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under	58c	207.2$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	59c	170$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	59c	166.66$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under	47c	162.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.93	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Over	51c	145.43$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.26	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Under	44c	129.76$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.43	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	124.05$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.77	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under	57c	120$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	47c	118.71$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.01	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	54c	116.52$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.45	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	52c	96.48$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.91	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	51c	92.61$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.62	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	58c	91.65$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.73	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	56c	87.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	43c	86.8$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.48	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	85.67$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.6	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	44c	85.43$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	48c	71.91$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.19	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	51c	61.22$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over	56c	60.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.71	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	45c	60$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	53c	58.12$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under	56c	57.3$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Under	54c	57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under	46c	52.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	49.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under	52c	47.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	49c	39.52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Under	51c	37.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Under	55c	36.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	41.4%53 W · 75 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed Under	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under	51c	33.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under	53c	33.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	46c	32.36$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed Under	46c	31.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-5.4wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-40%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b21…05ecbacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-5.4wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under	39c	30.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under	54c	29.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over	53c	29.31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	163	69.9%114 W · 49 L	+18.6wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over	42c	28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.24	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	48c	26.28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e7…3182backed Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	68	64.7%44 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd745…223abacked Under	45c	23.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	48c	21.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over	51c	20.9$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.24	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	59c	20.41$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Clippers won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Clippers vs. SpursSpurs won
Clippers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event