TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,998 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Clippers47c108,906$51,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,720.1729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs53c95,433$50,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,579.291,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs52c59,112$30,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,682.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs53c47,091$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Spurs53c40,045$21,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,223.659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Clippers47c38,000$17,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,14011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Clippers48c35,383$16,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.1630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Clippers47c27,835$13,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,752.5416039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Clippers48c23,999$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,479.4938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Clippers47c23,370$10,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,386.128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers46c16,236$7,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,686.991,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers48c11,325$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,885.7560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Clippers48c9,792$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.677552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs52c8,620$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs52c7,393$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,842.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs54c6,688$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Clippers48c6,667$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.6726648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers48c5,852$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.921,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Spurs52c4,510$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs53c4,000$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.651,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…ba19backed Spurs55c2,674$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.53520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Spurs53c2,588$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.4551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers48c2,267$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.3538750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Clippers48c2,246$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.8332450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Spurs54c2,043$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.483043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Clippers52c1,900$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers46c1,361$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.151,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Spurs53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Spurs53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Spurs49c789.8$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2740243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs6c638.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Clippers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9928245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers47c498.18$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Clippers48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.430452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Spurs53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs51c384.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs52c384.52$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Spurs54c384$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spurs53c377$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8123553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers56c371.94$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.133,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Spurs53c371.52$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.651,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b04…38b2backed Spurs54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Spurs53c367.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1959159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers47c367.51$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Clippers48c314.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Spurs53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Spurs54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16216251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c296$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Clippers48c291.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6719554.9%107 W · 88 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Spurs53c287.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.484158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Spurs53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Spurs53c273.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458142%34 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers47c236.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers44c230.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers49c226.27$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Clippers49c223.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5819054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Spurs53c215.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Clippers58c214.74$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Clippers48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.23534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8fb…72cdbacked Clippers48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Spurs53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Spurs53c188.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs53c185.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Clippers47c172.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers46c158.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Clippers48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7813045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Spurs53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.531947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Spurs54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Clippers48c136.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.814053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Spurs53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Spurs53c119.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.611759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Spurs53c115.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x470d…7278backed Clippers73c109.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Spurs54c109.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2721854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Spurs57c105.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Clippers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Spurs52c104$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0828243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5468…d6e4backed Spurs48c101.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spurs53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Spurs50c98.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6710145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd069…d068backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Spurs55c94.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6213352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs63c93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Spurs54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Clippers48c86.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7648451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed Spurs53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Clippers47c81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9319135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Spurs52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.676250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Clippers48c78.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8911947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Spurs53c75.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310252%53 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs23c71.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.