TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,517 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c18,514$8,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,795.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c16,216$8,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,432.5660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under53c15,833$8,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.6243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c15,098$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,098.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c7,945$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c4,980$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c4,569$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.441,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c3,812$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c3,750$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.4669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under51c3,511$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.151,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c2,400$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2461,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,925$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.3780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c1,298$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.891,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under51c1,149$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48015650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under20c985.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under38c960.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7419135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under48c895.83$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4308647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c890.21$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.912,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over44c772$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c657.68$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over47c652.98$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.5651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c532$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9626553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over57c482.6$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa913…e855backed Under32c449$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.68100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1768637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21623047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under12c333.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.471,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under53c324.32$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under17c270$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c255.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under56c213$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2817960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c208.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd689…add6backed Over54c204.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.792572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under58c202.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.439943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over53c198.33$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0875…167cbacked Over80c196.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.993565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under58c169.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under37c159.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under22c133$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c132.76$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over55c130.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5414547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over55c125.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over55c112.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7715149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c108.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.993,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under53c106.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4214466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c104.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5395548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c96.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.361,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over61c88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3661939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Under48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over61c73.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under34c65.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2511128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under53c64.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2226756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under53c60.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9430654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c58.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a3…9551backed Over75c57.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe44…1720backed Over46c56.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.526536.9%24 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…fc02backed Under44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+80.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over45c51.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4511748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under54c51.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.541,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Under30c48.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c47.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under53c47.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over49c46.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7330845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over52c43.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9816369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over56c41.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2314858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over57c38.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8530151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Over66c37.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.497731.2%24 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under39c35.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over49c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6954854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over58c34.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.497159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over56c33.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7225655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Over49c33.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.813852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under53c31.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9331354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c31.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.938048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.