NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb5e501815db45e8d7de21c98154eed1c0c70d717ec2a7e449684f1bfeff5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 19,509$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,891.19 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…4829backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,109$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 50c | 3,365$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.55 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 3,118$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.46 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 3,052$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 2,711$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 2,684$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,457$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.44 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 2,407$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,807$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 1,136$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.31 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 931.12$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 50c | 807.24$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.01 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 792$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 539.87$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 48c | 538.48$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 503.57$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 480.56$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 49c | 307.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 55c | 217$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 56c | 216.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Over | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 209.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Over | 47c | 151.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 57c | 122.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 51c | 121.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 107.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 48c | 98.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…70ccbacked Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 51c | 97.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 84.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 50c | 80.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…67babacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 62.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 60.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 59.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 51c | 49.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Under | 50c | 41.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 62c | 40.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 51c | 36.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 26.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…9cebbacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…21bcbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 50c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.