NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc950761ea5f0edd6f2263814003384d922e2e11c6e9710506b469ae36818b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 9,616$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 46c | 7,835$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604.1 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 7,151$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Over | 52c | 5,531$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 4,078$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 3,900$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 3,070$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.82 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,560$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,560$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 56c | 1,407$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.4 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,126$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 1,089$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 782.73$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 62c | 484.74$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 377$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 331.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 323$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 218.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 195.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 129.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 31c | 115.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Over | 52c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 99.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 60c | 97.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 69.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 59c | 66.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 56.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…0568backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 26c | 40.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 41c | 34.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…07a8backed Over | 68c | 29.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Under | 50c | 28.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 64c | 28.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…7c20backed Under | 43c | 24.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 75c | 24.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Under | 49c | 23.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.