TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,154 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers52c287,350$148,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,753.8660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs48c94,436$45,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,218.632,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs48c83,399$40,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,031.231,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs49c80,000$39,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,20029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Clippers53c57,000$30,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,789.9740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs47c49,806$23,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,408.966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs47c25,691$12,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,074.731,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs49c24,865$12,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,27536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Clippers52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.7717251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Spurs47c18,888$8,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,877.3615952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers52c13,629$7,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.071,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers52c9,997$5,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,798.7845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers52c9,543$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.821,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs48c8,132$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs47c6,758$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.414,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Spurs49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4504143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs49c4,042$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.3982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers52c3,887$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs49c3,064$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c2,987$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs46c2,775$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Clippers52c2,700$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.1280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers52c2,402$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Spurs49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.0414448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Spurs48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9812745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Clippers52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Clippers51c1,644$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.531,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Clippers53c1,363$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.4533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers50c1,255$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.261,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Spurs50c1,203$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.5225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers53c1,165$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.672,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers52c1,149$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.926756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs48c1,035$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Spurs49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017940.2%72 W · 107 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Clippers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Spurs49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Spurs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Clippers52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Clippers51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d46…3215backed Spurs52c993.57$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers50c981$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b49…1f54backed Clippers51c900$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4381353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Spurs49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Spurs50c799.96$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9814746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Spurs49c714.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Spurs50c696.3$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7217748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Clippers52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28814059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Clippers52c577.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Spurs48c570.88$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.061,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers53c552.23$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9931354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs50c502$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25114344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x630f…bf17backed Spurs49c492.03$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs48c487.69$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers50c455.63$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.822,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Spurs47c453.12$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9720352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Clippers53c438.24$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.976653%35 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Spurs48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Clippers53c406.72$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8114053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs52c384.31$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.436449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Clippers52c376.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.626651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Clippers54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3722447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers48c345.12$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4652844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Clippers53c317.13$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4819659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs47c309.76$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Spurs48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Clippers53c283.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0652146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Clippers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0219054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs41c274.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.571,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Spurs5c273.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.684231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Spurs47c249.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0418043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Clippers78c245.35$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.776355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spurs48c229.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Spurs49c229.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.279451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed Spurs49c224.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66cb…f219backed Clippers52c212.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Spurs48c208.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004161%25 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740d…f9f3backed Spurs48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Clippers48c206.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.471,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs48c204.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Clippers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Spurs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Spurs48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968043.8%35 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers51c198.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.471,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Clippers53c197.58$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.882853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…d77ebacked Spurs49c195.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cbb…3b60backed Spurs49c193.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Spurs52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Clippers53c189.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4812046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.