NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5def07445b48deeabf7af5a3d330adb3330aea59ff4876c0a0605db89eb772a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,001 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 30,839$14,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,858.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 53c | 19,635$10,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,406.55 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 49c | 18,367$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.83 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 8,753$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 7,837$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 52c | 5,859$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.8 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 4,358$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.42 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 51c | 4,084$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.4 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 3,937$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 52c | 3,654$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 3,073$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.09 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 53c | 2,636$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.78 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,972$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 1,893$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.48 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 47c | 1,856$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.47 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,424$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 1,337$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.05 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 858$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.84 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 674.73$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.77 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 49c | 667$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.83 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 48c | 449.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 419.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 340.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 322.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 52c | 274$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 46c | 242.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 196.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 49c | 181.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 45c | 175$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 154.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 56c | 140.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 132.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…6b3cbacked Over | 53c | 126.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 101.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 71.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 52c | 68.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 52c | 68.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 54c | 55.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 60c | 50.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 49c | 36.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 21.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.