TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes43c41,769$17,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,817.341752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No56c28,163$15,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,757.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes47c14,397$6,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,575.571250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No56c13,417$7,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,455.15761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No57c11,026$6,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.0724657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes46c7,682$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c7,653$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.391,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c7,141$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.42,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c4,907$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.3548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No34c3,083$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.414841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c3,000$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57520143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Yes45c2,231$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c2,119$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.8822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1205030%15 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Yes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked No33c1,935$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No56c1,908$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.296155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes42c1,643$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.911926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No56c1,518$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.081637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f27…4377backed Yes46c1,383$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No56c1,339$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No27c971.67$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.177444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No56c937$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.724261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed Yes56c900$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8912950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes70c863.88$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No41c757.04$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No60c704.15$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.499651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0a…e7aabacked Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No54c546.56$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4716154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27514254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…1412backed No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No33c471.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe80…f722backed No57c450$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No56c447.35$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No56c406.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.446851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1b…45cabacked Yes49c380.09$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No55c374.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.496162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed Yes44c352.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.271838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes44c352.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes44c352.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes44c352.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes44c352.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes44c352.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.912343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.912142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes43c337.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2113752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes45c333.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1910451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes44c330.2$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes43c324.04$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.042142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No56c277.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1210260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No30c273.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes73c272.67$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.623528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a8a…7103backed Yes73c253.25$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa0…e82fbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c248.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes45c235.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.621250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5615357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No30c229.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes44c228.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.946960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c208$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…b024backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa78…d2d8backed Yes44c195.86$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc9…73fabacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes74c132.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.452650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No58c122.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No58c121.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.372045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes41c121.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes43c114.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.962744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1292…06a4backed Yes40c109.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No60c109.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.433860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No55c105.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.649754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes43c104.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.982250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2de…9fb3backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No58c99.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.834060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e2…daf5backed Yes70c92.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.